Thursday, September 12, 2013

앞에서는"개성공단 재가동 협상", 뒤에서" North Korea's Yongbyon reactor 'nearing operation'"

http://www.latimes.com/world/worldnow/la-fg-wn-north-korea-nuclear-reactor-restart-20131008,0,6712085.story?track=rss

 http://www.cnn.com/2013/09/12/world/asia/north-korea-nuclear-reactor/index.html?hpt=hp_t2


"개성공단 재가동" 협상은 일종의 국가간의 약속이며,국책 사업이라고 생각한다.  북한의 일방적인 조치로 문을 열었다 닫았다 하는곳이 개성공단 이다.

개성공단 재가동을 위한 최근의 협상을 보면, 일개 국장급이 머리 맞대고 앉아서 합의를 도출했다느니,  공단 security문제가 해결됐다느니  파란 신호등이 켜진것  처럼 보도돼고,조국 대한민국은 축제 분위기를 느낄 정도로 들떠 있었고,  연이어 이산가족 상봉까지 확대 해석을 하고 있었다.  문제는 이런 국책 사업을 과연 김정은 Regime이 인정을 해줄까?라는 걱정을 했었는데 이러한 그들의 협상이  "영변 핵시설 재가동"을 위한 흑막전술이었음이 밝혀졌다.


그런데 이상한것은 이러한 뉴스를 이시간 현재 조국 대한민국의 언론에서는 일체 보도가 돼지 않고 있다.  플루토니움을 추출하는 영변 핵시설 건설이 국제적으로 불법임을 밝히고 이를 막기위해 세계에서 최강이라고 추앙(?)받고 있는 미국, 러시아, 중국등이 당사국인 북한과 대한민국을 협상테이블에 앉혀놓고,  말장난을 해온지가 기억이 안날정도로 오래 끌어왔고, 현재는 유야 무야 한 상태다.

처음 개성공단 재가동 협상을 한다고 할때, 걱정을 많이 했었다.   협상의 모양새가 전연 신빙성이 없는,   배고픈 개에게 고기덩이 하나를  던져 주자마자 덮석 받아 먹는 개걸스런 그런 모습 이상 이하도 아니었다.  협상내내 과정을 보면 결국 Kim's regime에  Conspiracy에 말려 들어가고 있었던 의심을 확인해 준것 밖에는 없다.

앞에서는 개성공단 재가동, 마식령 스키장 건설 등등, 소위 그들이 말하는것을 인용한다면 "인민의 편의와 여가 즐기기"를 위한다는 Propaganda를 소리높혀 하면서,  커텐뒤에서는  영변 핵시설 재가동에 총력을 기울여,  가동할 준비가 다 됐다는 신호를 뒷북치는 식으로 서방 세계의 첩보위성이 발견하여 알려주고 있다.

"소탐대실"이라는 사자성어가 있다.  한문을 잘 알고 있는 절친한 친구가 바로 옆에 있었다면 좀더 그뜻을 확실하게 보여주기위해 한자로 썼어야 했으나, 나는 그럴 능력이 없어 그냥 우리글로 썼는데, 그뜻이 잘 전달 되기를 바래면서, 이말을 곱씹어 본다.
세계 10대 경제 대국에 속해 있다는 조국 대한민국이  개성공단에 있는공장 시설과 그곳에서 생산되는 제품에 대한 손실 때문에 큰 틀의 방향을 향해 항해하는 Key를 잘 못 틀었다는점이 적나라 하게 확인되는 순간이다.  어쩌면 조국 대한민국 전체가 다시고삐에 끼인 송아지 처럼 끌려가면서 다시 퍼주게 되는 전철을 밟지 않을것이다라는 보장이 없어보인다.

국민들의 피와 땀이 묻은 돈으로 보리고개 없애고  국가를 위해 일잘하라고 배를 실컷 채워 주었더니, 철없는 야당은 이러한 절박한 상황인데도 "국정원폐쇄"라는  투정을 부리겠다고 시민들이 여가를 즐기는 공간을 불법으로 강점하여 데모하고 있고,  빨갱이 이석기를 제명처분해야 하는 절박한 사항을  사태 추이를 지켜본 다름에 결정을 하겠다는  매국노같은 행동을 해대는 이들 철불지 집단을  지켜보는 Kim's regime은  소리 안나게 손벽을 치면서 응원을 할것이다.

영변 핵시설이 가동되면 그직격탄은 누가 맞는가?  또 누가 가장 위협속에서 두려움을 느낄까?   그렇게 되면  개성공단이 폐쇄될까봐 조공을 또 바쳐야 한다는  공식이 성립된다. 소탐대실.



North Korea's Yongbyon reactor 'nearing operation'

File photo: A North Korean nuclear plant and a cooling tower (right), later demolished, in Yongbyon, 27 June, 2008 The reactor provided plutonium for Pyongyang's nuclear weapons programme
Steam has been seen rising from North Korea's Yongbyon nuclear facility, suggesting that the reactor has been restarted, a US institute says.
The colour and volume of the steam indicated that the reactor was in or nearing operation, the institute said.
Pyongyang vowed to restart facilities at its main Yongbyon nuclear complex in April, amid high regional tensions.
The reactor can produce plutonium, which North Korea could use to make nuclear weapons.
Analysts believe North Korea already possesses between four and 10 nuclear weapons, based on plutonium produced at the Yongbyon reactor prior to mid-2007, when the facility was closed down.
'Leverage' The report, which was published on the 38 North website on Wednesday, was written by the US-Korea Institute at Johns Hopkins University. The institute uses satellite imagery to monitor developments in North Korea.
The reactor uses steam turbines to generate electricity, and the steam seen in satellite imagery from 31 August indicated that the electrical system was about to come online, the report said.

“Start Quote

There remains time to negotiate a shutdown of the reactor”
Institution for Science and International Security
"The reactor looks like it either is or will within a matter of days be fully operational, and as soon as that happens, it will start producing plutonium," report author Jeffrey Lewis told the BBC.
"They really are putting themselves in a position to increase the amount of material they have for nuclear weapons, which I think gives them a little bit of leverage in negotiations, and adds a sense of urgency on our part," he added.
The five megawatt reactor can produce spent fuel rods that can be made into plutonium, which experts believe North Korea used for its nuclear tests in 2006 and 2009. North Korea conducted its third, most-recent test in February, but it is not clear whether plutonium or uranium was used.
In a November 2010 report following a visit to Yongbyon, US scientist Siegfried Hecker said that based on what he saw he believed North Korea could "resume all plutonium operations within approximately six months" at Yongbyon, then shut down, if so inclined.

Yongbyon nuclear complex

  • North Korea's main nuclear facility; thought to have produced the material for 2006 and 2009 nuclear tests
  • Reactor shut down in July 2007 as part of a disarmament-for-aid deal; Cooling tower dismantled in 2008
  • IAEA inspectors banned in April 2009 when North Korea pulled out of disarmament talks
  • North Korea said in April 2013 that it would restart the complex
  • Experts believe that, if re-started, reactor could make one bomb's worth of plutonium per year
  • A uranium enrichment facility was revealed in 2010. An American nuclear scientist said centrifuges appeared to be primarily for civilian nuclear power, but could be converted to produce highly enriched uranium bomb fuel
  • Nuclear test based on uranium device would be harder to monitor than plutonium
Analysts at the Institution for Science and International Security, a think tank, said it would take a considerable amount of time before North Korea could use any new plutonium in nuclear weapons.
"Given that North Korea will likely need two-three years before it discharges irradiated fuel containing plutonium and another six to 12 months to separate the plutonium, there remains time to negotiate a shutdown of the reactor before North Korea can use any of this new plutonium in nuclear weapons," it said in a report.
Analysts say the reactor can produce six kg (13 lbs) of plutonium a year - enough to make one to two nuclear bombs, the BBC's Lucy Williamson in Seoul reports.
Both the US State Department and South Korea's National Intelligence Service have declined to comment directly on the report, saying they do not comment on intelligence matters, AP news agency reported.
North Korea closed the Yongbyon reactor in July 2007 as part of a disarmament-for-aid deal.
The cooling tower at the facility was later destroyed, but then the disarmament deal stalled, partly because the US did not believe Pyongyang was fully disclosing all of its nuclear facilities.
In 2010, North Korea unveiled a uranium enrichment facility at Yongbyon to Mr Hecker.
Mr Hecker said that while the facilities appeared to be for electricity generation purposes, it could be readily converted to produce highly-enriched uranium for bombs.
Yongbyon nuclear facility

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