Thursday, January 04, 2018

뇌물먹은 북한,마지못해 남북한 Hotline 개통허용,평창올림픽 참가통보,문통은 감지덕지로 화답 - 이게 주권국가냐?




왜이리도 호들갑일까? 북한측에서 직통전화 걸려오기를 무척 기다리고 있었다는 뜻이다. 이런 호들갑은 문통정부만이 아니다. 왜들 이러나?  어린아이가 울고 보채다가도, 엄마가 더이상은 안된다는 신호로 모른척하고 기다리면 아이는 울음을 그친다.  그것은 바로 주면 줄수록 더 앵앵 거린다는 뜻이다. 왜 대한민국은 그것에 목메고 있을까?
버릇만 더 나빠지게 하는 엄마의 행동과 뭐가 다른가.  그만해라.  차라리 모른체 대응도 하지말고, 이들을 힘으로 제압할수 있는 국방력 증강에 더 힘쓰라.  

북한과 오랜기간동안, 한국을 비롯한 전 서방세계가 갖은 방법으로 지구촌의 일원이 돼도록 온갖 정성을 쏟아왔었다.  그러나 결과는 항상 "배신", 공갈, 핵무기 개발에 도움만 주었을 뿐이다.  그들을 왜 평창올림픽에 모실려고 문통정부는 안달이냐? 

남북간에 오래전부터 설치해놓고 사용해온 긴급연락전화(Hotline)는 항상 북한의 입맛에 마추어 연결이 돼고, 또 끊어지고... 그렇게 해오기를 4반세기를 넘게, 마치 인질극을 벌여오듯이 해왔다. 이번의 Hotline재연결도, 각종 퍼주기식 뇌물공여가 그약발을 작용하여 이루어지게 됐다는 추측이 한국뿐 아니라 미국을 위시한 전서방세계의 생각이다. 

김정은이 신년사에서 평창올림픽참가를 첫언급을 했다. 그것은 후속조치가 이루어지는것으로 봐서, 남북한 양쪽에 명령을 내린것이고, 그명령에 따라 분주히 움직이고 그첫단계로 Hotline개통을 한것이다. 신년사가 있기전, 지난해 말부터 문통이 평창올림픽에 초청하는 Invitation을 여러차례 보냈을때는, 어느 개가 짖느냐는 식으로 아무런 반응이 없던 북한이었었다. 분명히 냄새가 많이 난다. 뇌물의 약발효과가 과연 얼마나 지속될지는 이제는 삼척동자도  알고있을 정도로 이골이 나있다.

남한정부와 국민들은, 이런식으로 남북이 전화줄 하나로 연결되면 마치 통일이라도 금새될것처럼 호들갑 떠는 추한 구걸은 그만해야한다. 이런 구걸은 어제 오늘일이 아니다.
하계올림픽, 동계올림픽, 아시안게임 등등의 국제적 운동경기 주최권을 따기위해 얼마나 혼신의 힘을 기울여 왔었는가.

그때마다 북한은 남한을 비난해왔고 전세계가 불법으로 규제하고있는 대륙간탄도미사일, 핵실험을 자행하여, 한반도에 불안감을 주어, 남한에서 개최되는 행사를 방해만 해온, 지구상에서 존재해서는 안되는 짖만골라 해온집단이었다. 오늘 현재까지도 미국팀은 참가한다는 공식발표가 없다.

문통의 좌빠정부에 대해서, 김저은 집단은 더 마음놓고 흔들어 대고, 먹고싶은데로 요리를 할것이다. 벌써부터 선수단및 관련 임원들 수송용 호화 유람선을 Transportation용으로 보내주겠다고 언론에 발표하고있다. 다른 나라들은 참가여부에 관심도 없고, 오직 입북의 김정은 집단 입맛 마추기에 올인하고 있는 추태가 부끄럽기만 하다. 

이번 평창올림픽을 연결고리로 해서, 문통정부는 폐쇄돼왔던 개성공단 재가동을 하게될것이다. 그렇게 하면서,전임정권의 통치행위가 잘못됐었음을 반증하고, 현재 진행되고있는 박전대통령의 재판에 또하나의 억지 죄목을 덧부쳐 세상과 격리시킬것이다.  

평창올림픽이 끝나고 나면, 한국을 위협하는 북의 위협을 3만명의 미군을 주둔시켜가면서 지켜주고있는 미국으로 부터도, 완전 왕따를 당해, 마치 망망대해에서 태풍을 만나 방향을 잃고, 좌초의 위협에 떨면서 속수무책이 된 초라한 돛단배가 돼고, 엎어지면 바로 배밑에서 기회를 노리고 있는 상어떼의 좋은 먹이감으로 전락하고 말것이라는, 그림이 환히 그려지고 있다.
CNN뉴스를 옮겨놨다.

Seoul (CNN)North Korea and South Korea established contact on a hotline that's been dormant for almost two years Wednesday, a major diplomatic breakthrough following a year of escalating hostility and a move that could pave the way for future talks.  
North Korean leader Kim Jong Un gave the order to open the line at 3:00 p.m local time (1:30 a.m. ET), according to an announcement on state media in the hours before the two phone calls to the South took place.
According to South Korea's Unification Ministry, the North Koreans made first contact at exactly the time ordered, and the sides were on the phone from 3:30 p.m. to 3:50 p.m. local time (South Korea is half an hour ahead of North Korea). 
During the initial 20-minute connection, the two nations "checked technical issues of the communication line," according to a statement from South Korea's Unification Ministry.
    The Unification Ministry said North Korea phoned for a second time several hours later on the Panmunjom hotline, suggesting the two sides wrap up business for the day. 
    "The North Korean side called our side at 6:07 p.m. (4.07 a.m. ET) and said 'let's call it a day today,'" the ministry confirmed. 
    Other than checking that the link-up was operational, it is unclear what was discussed. A ministry spokeswoman told CNN that there was no mention of future talks or the Olympics.
    A South Korean official communicates with a North Korean officer on the dedicated communications hotline at the border village of Panmunjom in Paju, South Korea, on Wednesday.
    Contact had been initiated after Kim expressed hope that a North Korean delegation might participate in next month's Winter Games in Pyeongchang, South Korea.
    The calls came just hours after an astonishing tweet from US President Donald Trump, who again taunted the North Korean leader, this time with a boast about the size of his nuclear button. During Kim's New Year's Day address, the North Korean leader had claimed he had a nuclear button of his own on the desk of his office.
    "I too have a Nuclear Button, but it is a much bigger & more powerful one than his, and my Button works!" the US President tweeted.

    It's unlikely the timing of North Korea's offer of talks was related to Trump's tweet, however. 
    Relations between North and South Korea have warmed in recent days. During an unusually conciliatory New Year's speech, the North Korean leader extended a rare olive branch to the South, suggesting discussions about sending a North Korean team to the Winter Olympics should start "as soon as possible."
    In response, South Korean President Moon Jae-In called for swift measures during a Cabinet meeting Tuesday to smooth North Korea's participation in the Games.
    Some analysts have said that North Korea's willingness to talk to South Korea could be an attempt to drive a wedge between the US and its South Korean ally.
    "The South Korean government, being quite frightened about Washington's bellicosity, is quite ready to welcome the North Korean initiative, and this might lead to an annoyance in the US," said Andrei Lankov from Seoul's Kookmin University. 
    Others argue that talks between the Koreas could be advantageous for Washington. Tong Zhao, a fellow at the Carnegie-Tsinghua Center for Global Policy in Beijing, says all forms of communication should be welcomed.
    "A better North-South relationship would help Washington and the international community to better understand North Korea and to talk it into taking substantive measures of self-restraint," he said.

    Rare talks 

    Wednesday's contact between the two Koreas marks the first time in almost two years that a special direct hotline in the border village of Panmunjom in the Demilitarized Zone has been used to connect the two countries.
    Until Wednesday, North Korea had not answered since February 2016 when South Korea suspended operations at the joint Kaesong Industrial Complex, a business park that once employed workers from both sides.
    What is the Kaesong industrial complex?
    What is the Kaesong industrial complex? 02:22
    "We have been calling North Korea twice a day at 9:00 a.m. and 4:00 p.m. but North Korea has not been responding since we had the last contact in February 2016. Nonetheless, we have been calling them every day Monday through Friday," a spokeswoman for the Unification Ministry told CNN on Tuesday. 
    The Kaesong Industrial Complex was closed after Pyongyang launched a satellite into space, in what was widely interpreted as a front for a missile test. It followed Pyongyang's claims in January 2016 that it had successfully tested a hydrogen bomb.
    There's been no letup in North Korea's ambitions since; during 2017 it conducted a record number of missile launches and carried out the country's sixth nuclear test.
    China reiterated its support for renewed dialogue between North and South on Wednesday, and expressed its hope the US and North Korea can find a way of easing their nuclear rhetoric going forward. 
    "China welcomes and supports both the DPRK and South Korean sides taking the Pyeongchang Winter Olympics as an opportunity to make effective efforts to improve mutual relations," Chinese Foreign Ministry spokesman Geng Shuang said. 
    Referring to Trump's tweet, Geng added: "We hope that both parties can resume dialogue and build mutual trust as soon as possible instead of trying to be brazen and shout with each other."

    Olympics as a peace tool

    Moon's office welcomed Wednesday's gesture for talks and expressed optimism that they'd be extended from participation in the Winter Olympics to other issues. 
    "The restoration of the communication channels means a lot. It is assessed that (we) are headed to setting up a structure through which contacts can be made on a regular basis," said presidential press secretary Yoon Young-chan in a statement echoed by the country's Unification Ministry.
    Moon has championed the 2018 Winter Olympics, set to begin February 9, as a possible means of easing tensions on the Korean Peninsula. 
    In a November interview with CNN, the South Korean leader described the Games as an opportunity for inter-Korean peace and reconciliation, and expressed his hope that the North would participate.
    Moon: Olympics an opportunity for peace (2017) 02:41
    Only two North Korean athletes have qualified for the Games -- pairs figure skaters Ryom Tae-Ok and Kim Ju-sik. However, the country's National Olympic Committee did not meet an October 30 deadline to accept its spot.
    There has been talk of the International Olympic Committee granting an additional quota, something previously proposed by Choi Moon-soon, governor of the Gangwon province that will host the Winter Games.
    "If North Korean athletes can participate in the Winter Games and even parade together with their South Korean counterparts in the opening/closing ceremonies, that would send the North-South relationship to the highest level ever seen over the past few years," Tong told CNN.
    Daniel Pinkston, a professor of international relations at Troy University, told CNN he expected that North Korea would seek to participate in the Olympics in some capacity, "given the regime's view on sports and the opportunity the Games present for the North to deploy its soft power resources and to exploit any intel collection opportunities."
    Haley: US won't accept a nuclear North Korea 02:11

    US' tough stance

    Trump's hardline stance was backed by the country's Ambassador to the United Nations, who reiterated Tuesday that the US "will never accept a nuclear North Korea."
    Before the calls between North and South Korea, Nikki Haley said Pyongyang needed to ban all nuclear weapons as a precondition for any talks.
    "We consider this to be a very reckless regime, we don't think we need a Band-Aid and we don't think we need to smile and take a picture," she said. "We think that we need to have them stop nuclear weapons and they need to stop it now."
    After a year of increased missiles tests, threats and claims of nuclear capabilities, it's not clear why Kim has decided it's now time to talk. 
    Lankov from Kookmin University says the most likely explanation is "uncertainty in Pyongyang."
    "They hear strange noises emanating from the White House, and they cannot be sure whether President Trump is bluffing when he hints at his willingness to use force. So, they obviously decided to slow down, and start the charm offensive now," he said.
    Lankov added that while there's no suggestion North Korea is going to curb the pace of its nuclear program, the resumption of talks with the South might mitigate increasing tensions between Pyongyang and Washington. 
    "The new developments will indeed decrease the likelihood of a war breaking in Korea as a result of the US military strike," Lankov said.
    Jake Tapper: None of this is stable behavior
    Jake Tapper: None of this is stable behavior 02:32
    Earlier this week, Euan Graham, director of the International Security Program at the Lowy Institute, told CNN that the North's offer of talks with South Korea shouldn't be taken at face value.
    "Up until now, they just haven't shown any interest in engaging with the South, or anyone else for that matter," he said.
    "But an olive branch is always wrapped in some sort of belligerent coating in North Korea, it doesn't mean the end of the nuclear program.
    "Even if they do reach out and send a delegation to the Pyeongchang Winter Olympics, it wouldn't surprise me at all if they accompanied that with a continuing testing program as the spring comes, be that a submarine launch or satellite launch," Graham added.




    http://www.cnn.com/2018/01/03/asia/north-korea-south-hotline/index.html

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